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:rofl: Christ my sides...still laughing lol.

Couple of things 1) be careful with precious metals and 2) dollar averaging is one of the best tools a retail investor can utilize. As for #1, there are serious shadow markets in the physical and central bank world. Very few have insight with the exception of Benanke/Yellen et al, and banks...

This. And the guys who did fantastically post Reg NMS are finding the market saturated now. That's the problem with straight arbitrage is that your demise becomes self fulfilling.

Rates traders would sure like to think. But yes to some degree, though not always. Especially in today's centrally planned ZIRP, the complex gets a bit more intricate. So you seem to have a bit more knowledge than the average Joe. The forward curve can give insight into expectations at this...