Yeah, more evidence of an ipv4 "shortage"... 
ARIN Stock Changes Feb 2014 - Down to 1.38
- Thread starter VPSCorey
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- ipv4 depeltion
There is and we'll be lucky if what's left lasts the summer.Yeah, more evidence of an ipv4 "shortage"...
I'd hope fall time but who knows.
Francisco
If it lasts until summer, that's bad for CC's market plan for the summer host webhost package.
Hah.
ARIN has 'allocation graphs' that show how much they provision each month and how many requests come in.
You can see that they're pretty constant on outbound subnets, meaning they likely have a pretty
good idea of where they'll fall, assuming no more cloudflare requests come in.
Francisco
I remain skeptical because
Heck, Hewlett-Packard doesn't need two /8s. They don't even need one. And that's just Class A.
I suspect yes, eventually there will be more of a crunch, but I think it's a long time away.
But then, I didn't win $1 billion in my March Madness bracket, so my crystal ball is unreliable.
- I can still get ipv4 addresses all day for $1/mo or less
- This price has not risen in years
- Tons of big blocks still floating around out there waiting for renumbering/release.
Heck, Hewlett-Packard doesn't need two /8s. They don't even need one. And that's just Class A.
I suspect yes, eventually there will be more of a crunch, but I think it's a long time away.
But then, I didn't win $1 billion in my March Madness bracket, so my crystal ball is unreliable.
1) Prices won't go up until your provider can't get more. Idea is to sell sell sell so they can get more more more from ARIN
2) See 1.
3) Big blocks will likely conveniently come back when it suits the holder's best interest (IE good publicity, whatever). I wouldn't count on it, however, as that's what I'd label as unknown IP space. It isn't currently available, so never expect or rely on it to become such.
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I think you misunderstand me.
I'm not saying that once the last /8 rules kick in, that the markets going to melt down the next day.
What I'm saying, though, is that it'll become harder and harder to get subnets unless people are going
to start trying to buy legacy's or leasing space from a broker. Average IP prices are $11/ea if it's legacy
I think, not a cheap price considering it's always on /20's or bigger.
Now, what will happen is that many decent VPS datacenters are going to start weighing costs.
Is it worth it to sell that /25 to the dude renting a $150/m E3? Well no, because I can chop that /25
into 32 some odd /30's and have 32 dedi's sold.
Francisco
My request was granted same day as yours, took me 5 weeks.
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So it's following more or less what they predicted?
That's shocking.
When APNIC went dry they chewed the last /8 in *no* time.
Francisco
There is, I get complaints (Sometimes multiple times a day) for Ip's I never had which are now allocated to New Wave NetConnect, 123systems,HVH,GVH and Bluevm.
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Oh look, another one. This time it's under colocrossing directly. (Note: I do not work for my old company the email is going to a personal email account which was on my CC account and some ip's)
IP Information for 198.23.243.237
IP Location:
United States Williamsville Colocrossing ASN: 
AS36352 AS-COLOCROSSING - ColoCrossing,US (registered Dec 12, 2005) Resolve Host: mail24.hosting20.org
IP Information for 198.23.243.237
IP Location:
United States Williamsville Colocrossing ASN: AS36352 AS-COLOCROSSING - ColoCrossing,US (registered Dec 12, 2005) Resolve Host: mail24.hosting20.org
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Yeah I don't know how they justified a /10.
All I can think is that for such huge organizations, ARIN allows them to justify more than just 3 months of growth. That has to be like "We don't need IP space for the rest of our existence."
I'm really happy to see that i'm wrong and that there isn't a /22 policy. I'm waiting on TeamARIN
to confirm on twitter but from what I've read there isn't, they just have much more strict policies.
To anyone that has got a subnet recently, what was your turn around time from start<>finish? I know
Nick/etc mentioned 5 weeks earlier, but anyone else?
Francisco