Yep.Helps that ARIN now takes WEEKS not DAYS to complete requests. That adds to the appearance that IPv4 isn't depleting at a rapid rate.
From what I've heard they've bumped their standard 2 - 3 business day turn around to 5 - 6 business days.
If you're lucky you can get subnets in a couple weeks but if you have any delays you're looking at 1+ month.
They did get that /12 yesterday but they also almost ate up a /16 today, with hostwinds accounting for a /17 of it.
- Amazon's last request was *huge* ( http://whois.arin.net/rest/net/NET-54-72-0-0-1.html ) and was last year - they'll want more
- Microsoft's last request was in May ( http://whois.arin.net/rest/net/NET-104-40-0-0-1.html ) but I suspect they'll be out to request more before the years out (so get ready to kiss 10%+ away when that happens).
- Rackspace's last was in May as well but given they requested almost a /15 last year, they'll likely request another /16 soon
- Softlayer got a /16 in April but given the request rate they've been doing, expect another /15 to go to them as well
- Hell, I wouldn't be surprised if Cloudflare goes back for more even though they just got that /12 in March.
If you look at it all from when the thread started to now you'll see that in only 7 months they've chunked through an entire /8 already.
ARIN will probably be the only region to go 100% dry since they don't have a gradual exhaustion phase like LACNIC, RIPE, & APNIC.
My bets on January 2015, anyone wanting to bet a pizza on it?
Francisco
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